By Colin Mason
Has the longer term a destiny? Are we bringing historical past to an finish? staring at anyone of a number of person yet severe traits means that, with no speedy and optimistic motion, background can have just a very brief strategy to run. if it is the expansion of worldwide inhabitants, of greenhouse fuel concentrations and the accelerating cost of weather swap, the working down of oil and common fuel reserves, starting to be shortages of clean water for agriculture, and family use, or the expanding trouble in controlling epidemic ailments � we face a mounting international challenge that would top in under a iteration, round the 12 months 2030. Taken jointly, those traits element to a probably apocalyptic interval, if now not for the planet itself then definitely for human societies and for humankind. during this compelling publication, and replace to The 2030 Spike, Colin Mason explains in transparent and irrefutable phrases what's going � mostly lower than the outside of our day-by-day or weekly information announcements. the image he paints is stark, and but it isn't bleak. Being forewarned, we're forearmed, and he attracts on his personal broad political event to explain how a lot we will do as members, and primarily jointly, no longer simply to sidestep problem yet to engineer thoroughgoing swap that could herald really sustainable and worthwhile choices to the way in which we are living now.
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Additional resources for A Short History of the Future: Surviving the 2030 Spike
This will be especially important as major pressure increases, as it will, for much larger use of nuclear power as ‘the obvious answer’ to a growing world hunger for energy. And speaking of this, how about what I am calling the Coal Burners’ Club – otherwise the Asia-Pacific Partnership for Clean Development and Climate – entered into by the six nations who are indeed the world’s biggest coal users? The US, Australia, China, India, Japan and South Korea in 2005 signed an ‘understanding’ as an alternative to the Kyoto Protocol.
The answer to the first question is probably yes, and to the second, probably no. Refusal by the US and Australia to sign the 1997 Kyoto Protocol on climate change and the massive and increasing use of coal-fired power stations in China and India make continued high rates of carbon dioxide emissions almost inevitable. In any case, it is now generally acknowledged that the Kyoto target of reducing greenhouse gases 5 per cent by 2012 from 1990 levels is grossly inadequate – as much as 50 per cent would be necessary to check global warming.
Over 20 per cent of greenhouse emissions come from the US, which has under 5 per cent of the world’s population. However, on a per capita basis, Australia is the worst offender, emitting 25 per cent more carbon dioxide per capita than the US, 46 IS THERE A CRISIS? 4 Exxon Mobil, the world’s biggest oil conglomerate, is actually increasing its greenhouse emissions. Twenty per cent more gas was ‘flared’ – burned off – in 2003 than in 2002, and this is, of course, both pollutant and wasteful. The major likely consequence of global warming is higher temperatures everywhere, but the change will be greater at the poles than in equatorial and temperate regions.
A Short History of the Future: Surviving the 2030 Spike by Colin Mason